Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 7 24 24

phillies twins prediction

A winning $10 bet on odds of 1.59 would see a return of $15.90. When breaking down the calculations for the return, it’s simply 10 multiplied by 1.59. Should you want further assistance by the end of this guide, head on over to our MLB computer picks page to find additional tools to help grow your potential profits.

phillies twins prediction

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That should benefit Nola and the Philly pitching staff, so I’ll trust the league’s best team to grab a road win on Wednesday. It is hard to bet against Aaron Nola as he is one of the better pitchers in the MLB. Nola should go deep into this game, and compete enough for the Phillies to come away with the win. He is having a great season while being the workhorse, as well.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 7/24/24

They are sitting at 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 784. The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.48 so far this season (3rd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 904 hitters. Phillies pitchers have allowed 94 home runs in addition to 386 total runs (4th in MLB).

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Used primarily in Ireland and the United Kingdom, fractions show the profit you would receive for a successful bet. In fractional odds, the numerator represents how much a bettor stands to win while the denominator indicates the amount of a stake. The odds indicate how much you need to bet and identify which of the two teams is the underdog and favorite.

Philadelphia Phillies and Minnesota Twins Latest Matches

One thing he does very well is get opposing teams to chase pitches off the plate. With his chase rate, walk rate, and ability to induce weak contact, Nola should be able to have a good game against the Twins Wednesday night. The Phillies show mixed signals in their recent betting trends. They have struggled in their last few outings with a 2-4 straight-up record but have a strong performance history against American League Central teams (6-2 SU). Their ability to perform well mid-week (7-2 SU on Wednesdays) may offer a slight edge. The Phillies are set up to have their three best pitchers on the mound for this series.

Phillies vs. Twins best bet

The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order ranks as the 4th-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability. Minnesota can’t keep Royce Lewis on the field, as he is back on the injured list. Jose Miranda is also dealing with an injury, which is two big blows for this Twins lineup. However, Minnesota still ranks fourth among MLB lineups in wRC+, and the Twins boast the top wOBA since the start of June. Suarez is not an elite strikeout guy, but his sinker and curveball combo help him keep the ball on the ground and limit the damage.

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He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis. This betting advice is formulated through world-class simulations and valuable betting intelligence, designed to assist you in making more informed decisions. ClutchPoints is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any way connected to any sportsbook. We predict the Phillies, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Twins on Tuesday. Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Phillies vs. Twins Odds

phillies twins prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road to take on the Minnesota Twins Tuesday night. Below we will continue our MLB odds series with a Phillies-Twins prediction and pick. Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props. He has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.

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That’s especially true given the fact he has to pitch against the hottest offense in baseball tonight. The Twins offense has been the best in baseball over the past two months, leading Major League Baseball in OPS at .813 dating back to June 1. Now, they get to face the Phillies at the perfect time as Philadelphia is dealing with a slump. Woods Richardson constantly gives the Twins a chance to win when he is on the mound. He does a pretty good job getting hitters to chase, making sure they do not make hard contact, and he keeps his walks down. The Phillies do have a good offense, but they do have the 11th-highest chase percentage.

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Philadelphia continues to struggle over the last couple of weeks, but they do remain 8.5 games ahead of Atlanta in the NL East standings. Minnesota has been a very streaky team so far this season and they are in a battle with Cleveland and Kansas City in the AL Central. The Twins will start Woods Richardson, who has been very solid for them this year. The Phillies are going with Wheeler, who has been lights out in his last four outings.

They bounced back with a shutout victory Sunday and have scored 6 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games. The Twins have dropped 3 games in a row and allowed 8 runs in back-to-back home losses. The Phillies snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 6-0 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday as -116 road favorites. RHP Tyler Phillips allowed just 4 hits in 6 scoreless innings to pick up the win.

  • Philadelphia dropped the first game in this series and they allowed seven runs in the loss.
  • Phillies relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 66 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations.
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  • The Minnesota Twins are this season and they have lost three of their last four games.
  • This type of betting is also known as live betting because the moneylines, runlines, total points lines, props and alternate lines will refresh as the game plays out.
  • They retain their wild-card spot despite still trailing Cleveland by five games in the division.

Check out my Phillies vs. Twins pick and preview for Monday, July 22, below. Minnesota has played streaky baseball throughout the first half of the season. But since June 10, the Twins are 21-12, the fourth-best record in the league over that stretch. While they remain five games behind Cleveland in the division, they hold a wild-card spot. Although Ober has only two scoreless games this season, he has only missed one hit. He knows how to limit hard contact and does everything else at an above-average level.

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It might be that he’s having less luck than he did earlier in the season, as the same number of hits are landing in the field of play as always. But he’s having far less success scattering his hits as of late. He’s given up at least six hits in seven straight starts, but only the past four have seen runs coming across the plate. In his past four starts, he’s allowed 19 runs, 17 of them earned. The betting odds slightly favor the Phillies at -122 on the moneyline, reflecting their stronger season record and potent offense.

  • Nola could be one of the most important tools that can help in defeating the Twins’ rather powerful lineup, especially at their home field.
  • They have allowed 117 long balls and they yield 4.47 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).
  • This will be Ober’s first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • Let’s dive into everything you need to know to bet on the opening game of this interleague series.
  • However, Minnesota still ranks fourth among Major League Baseball teams in wRC+, and the Twins boast the best wOBA since early June.
  • They are sitting at 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 784.
  • The Minnesota Twins have a team OBP of .324 and a batting average of .254 for the year.
  • Castro, Correa, Buxton and Carlos Santana have an OPS above .900 against lefties.

As long as they keep throwing the ball well, the Twins can win this game. Kyle Schwarber has 19 home runs, 55 RBIs and a team-high 114 strikeouts as well this season. Despite the Twins being underdogs with a moneyline of +130 and an implied win probability of 42%, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives them a 47% chance to win. This suggests there might be value in betting on the Twins, especially considering public reluctance to back underdogs. The game total is set at 8.0 runs, indicating an average scoring affair.

The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change. The leading online sportsbooks offer 200+ MLB betting options in an individual baseball game, which is quite impressive but may seem overwhelming to some. To help you narrow it down, we’ve listed the most common bets on Major League Baseball. Find the best MLB odds and maximize your winnings with our reliable and up-to-date MLB betting lines. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the scene, our platform provides all the information you need to place your baseball bets with confidence. The Minnesota Twins and Byron Buxton hit the field in the final game of a three-game series against Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday at Target Field.

The total set at 8 with the OVER at -120 suggests expectations of a relatively high-scoring game, likely influenced by both teams’ slugging capabilities and recent trends. As good as Suarez has been this season, he has allowed 15 earned runs across his past three starts. His hard-hit rate is starting to increase and he issued seven free passes during the three-start stretch. As good as Suarez has been this season, he has allowed 15 earned runs in his last three starts. The hard hits are starting to rise and he has made seven free throws in three starts.

The Minnesota Twins are on the year after playing the Brewers and Giants. The Minnesota Twins have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 9 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 92 hits and 30 RBI while Carlos Correa and Jose Miranda have combined for 189 hits and 90 RBI. The Philadelphia Phillies are on the year after playing the Pirates and Athletics.

Minnesota needs to have their best offensive game against a very good pitcher in Wheeler. If they scratch across just a few runs, it would be enough to help the Twins win this game. Minnesota was able to shut down the Phillies in game one of this series, but that is not a big surprise.

They rank 8th in the league holding a save rate of 68.2%, and they have dispatched 318 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have come in 121 times in high leverage situations in addition to 78 occasions with runners on. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 46.5% out of 114 inherited runners. With 106 save situations, the Twins have accrued 61 holds and also 14 blown saves. The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

  • It’s been a plus pitch for him in the past, but his heater has a negative run value this year, allowing a .307 average and .410 wOBA.
  • In that contest, the left-handed hitter out of Forest Lake, Minnesota went 1 for 3 with a double.
  • Ober is a fly-ball pitcher who allows too many barrels, and Philadelphia should be able to attack his fastball.
  • Odds start with either a minus (-) or a plus (+) and are always a whole number (-135, +150, +250, -325, etc.).
  • Despite being ten games above .500, the Twins are just a game away from being knocked out of the AL Wild Card.

I’d need more bang for my buck to go against the Phillies and Suarez with how he’s pitched this season. Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side. AI phillies twins prediction and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Twins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions.

They have earned 493 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .329. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, which is 4th in MLB. Minnesota will use left-handed reliever Steven Okert as an opener with righty David Festa likely throwing several innings behind him.

The Phillies are expecting their three best pitchers to take the floor in this series. Philadelphia has dominated the National League all year, but the weight of the season might be catching up to the Phillies. They’ve been getting every opponent’s best shot, and the past two series might have shown some of the effects.

Plus, our World Series odds give you the latest predictions and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division. Dimers.com’s in-depth preview of Wednesday’s Phillies vs. Twins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds. Gambling is not offered on this website, and all betting content is intended for audiences ages 21+. All picks and predictions are based on each individual writer’s opinion, and don’t express that of ClutchPoints.

  • He’s also added 27.6% of strikeouts and has walked just 6.1% of batters in the last month.
  • Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.
  • Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them sitting 20th in MLB, and have a total of 74 double plays.
  • He has used his fastball 38.9% this season, nearly 10% lower than prior years.
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  • Not only have the Phillies struggled a bit offensively, but Ranger Suarez has been abysmal on the mound lately.
  • Minnesota is in second in the AL Central, sitting five games behind the Cleveland Guardians.
  • Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

Despite being ten games above .500, the Twins are just a game away from being knocked out of the AL Wild Card. Meanwhile, the Phillies will take on the Minnesota Twins, who can’t relax as much as the Phillies. The Twins are five games out of the AL Central and fighting amongst many for an AL Wild Card spot. The Philadelphia Phillies are currently the best team in the National League. They’re and lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Atlanta Braves. Bailey Ober is a pretty normal pitcher — solid and above average with a 4.14 ERA and 3.63 xERA.

75% of the Phillies’ infielders were named to the All-Star team, and this team has depth throughout the lineup. Even after missing time, Harper ranks eighth in baseball in fWAR. With the Phillies, Ranger Suarez went from a middle reliever to a supporting starter and a Cy Young candidate. In 19 starts, the pitcher earned All-Star honors, going 10-4 with an ERA of 2.76.

This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data. It’s been a plus pitch for him in the past, but his heater has a negative run value this year, allowing a .307 average and .410 wOBA. He has used his fastball 38.9% this season, nearly 10% lower than prior years. The decrease makes sense because all his secondary pitchers have been plus.

Nola is having a good season, but he does have an ERA over 4.00 since the beginning of June. Minnesota is top-5 in batting average and slugging percentage. Minnesota has scored over 5 runs per game in the month of July, and it is a big reason that they are in second place in the AL Central. If the Twins can continue to hit the ball well, they will be able to win this game. They are at the top of the MLB in batting average, slugging percentage, on-base percentage, home runs, and runs scored.

Our MLB Public Betting Information page indicates that 84% of public bettors are currently backing the Phillies money line. The Minnesota Twins are worth a look at home in the underdog role, but Bailey Ober has been hit or miss this season and the price isn’t worth the squeeze. The Philadelphia Phillies are not only the better side, but Ranger Suarez has been CY Young good.

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